Featured
Why The Heat Will NEVER Trade Jimmy Butler To The Suns
Published
1 day agoon
By
JoshuaWill Jimmy Butler be traded by the deadline? Maybe, but it won’t involve the Miami Heat and the Phoenix Suns. For Phoenix, it’ll be one of the greatest deals in recent memory. For Miami, it would put them in an uncomfortable situation in recent memory.
As it stands right now, according to multiple reports, the Suns would offer Bradley Beal and picks, most likely their 2031 first-rounder and some second-rounders.
Again, for Mat Ishbia’s team, this would be a home run—a significant addition to their championship odds. However, if this type of deal went through for Pat Riley’s team, it would cause present and future issues like fans have never seen before.
In today’s article, I will go through the top five reasons why Miami would never accept this deal in a million years.
Reason #1: Another Guard In The Rotation
Bradley Beal’s career has seen him play primarily at the two spot, shooting guard; this season with the Suns is the exception. Right now, he is playing small forward.
I bring this up to say if Miami acquires him, then they will have a guard room of Terry Rozier, Tyler Herro, Duncan Robinson, and Beal. Not only is that very competitive, but where will all the minutes be allocated?
The only way the minutes would work is for Beal to replace Butler as the team’s starting small forward, which could see a three-guard starting lineup.
This would be a true small-ball lineup that will force the front court, Haywood Highsmith and Bam Adebayo, to pick up the slack on defense and rebounding.
Beal is a fine defender. However, it could be proven difficult when a stronger, bigger opponent comes crashing into the paint/perimeter, and he may be unable to stop it. Add this to players like Rozier and Herro not being top-tier defensemen. Challenges will arise.
By adding another guard and turning him into a make-shift small forward, Miami will sacrifice elements of their team to compensate for a three-guard lineup.
Reason #2: Injuries & Availability
Since the 2019-20 season, Beal has only played an average of 52 games per season. At one point, fans saw him only play 40 games in one season (2021-22) and 50 in another (2022-23).
That’s beyond concerning when one of this team’s weaknesses is having players who are healthy and able to play more than 60 games in a season. What should concern Miami fans even more is that Beal will push through injuries to play in games; while admirable, this doesn’t mean his productivity and usefulness will be positive.
Since 2019-20, Butler has played an average of 58.2 games per season. While some can argue that he needs to play more games and has a history of getting hurt, the 35-year-old has been resilient and put the team on his back during their two trips to the NBA Finals.
He holds a different level of impact, one of which Beal does not possess. It’s not a knock on Beal, but Butler is available when his team needs him the most. Whether that be important stretches of the season or postseason.
Reason #3: Beal’s Contract
The 31-year-old is making $50 million this season, $53 million next season, and has a $57 million player option in 2026-27.
That’s a lot of money given to a talented player who is hurt often, especially with age, and doesn’t possess the same Batman-like tendencies as Butler. Plus, on top of it, he has the less-than-charming no-trade clause in his contract.
He got the NTC from the Washington Wizards to keep him there until they decided to move him to Phoenix. James Jones’ team has to deal with his NTC if they want to trade him.
Now, let’s say there is a reality where Riley goes crazy and accepts the deal. They’ll be tied down to his NTC until the end of his contract expires.
Why is this a bad thing? It’s terrible because no team in the future will want to trade for an older, more injury-prone Bradley Beal with an expensive contract with that clause. Plus, it gives Beal the option to say no if the Heat dumps to some lower-tier team.
It puts them in a horrific spot, as they get him and probably will also eat that player option. Why? Because Beal won’t get that large contract again in his career, why wouldn’t he opt into it? He would be out of his mind not to.
This isn’t a favorable world to live in if I’m a part of the Heat’s front office.
Reason #4: What The Suns Can Offer Is Absolute Garbage
I don’t mean to be overly critical or rude, but the Heat only getting Beal in the deal is horrible.
Beal is not a horrible player, not in the slightest. He is a good, solid talent that can contribute to win. Even with all that, he is an aging player who can’t do it on his own, not to the level that Butler was able to do.
Due to Phoenix being a Second Apron team, they can only put in one player. It must be a 1+1 deal; they can’t put another into the deal to match the salary. This is why Beal is the number one player in these “trade talks.”
Giving up elite talent for a good player and a half-decent pick is not wise. A 2031 first-rounder and multiple seconds won’t help the Heat in the present or the future. We are at the end of 2024, heading into 2025, which means that pick can’t be used for six more years.
In addition to the trade, exchanging Butler for Beal is a massive downgrade. One could argue that the only reason this team is competitive is Butler, especially when multiple players are injured, fatigued, or not having their typical game.
Reason #5: Miami Could Easily Fall Into A Poverty-like State
This team has solid pieces yet has never been more than a play-in team. It’s somewhat perplexing, but that’s where this team is at.
Bam Adebayo has not elevated this team, Tyler Herro has not elevated it, and nobody besides Butler has taken it to new heights. I’m not saying that Herro and Adebayo are bad players, but they have that impact and command of the game that Butler does.
A team surrounding Beal, Herro, Adebayo, and Rozier isn’t a recipe for success. While they are individually good, they won’t be collectively good. There is a massive difference. One results in stats looking pretty, and the other is winning basketball, which translates into another Finals run.
To take it another step forward, if they get Beal, and it doesn’t work out in the next season or even two, they’ll blow up the team. Why? Miami will not allow itself to remain mediocre, especially without Butler.
The ramifications of this singular (potential) trade on the Miami Heat are severe. It’s not positive, and it’s highly damaging.
Conclusion:
I love Bradley Beal, but he cannot replace Jimmy Butler. Miami is in such a unique situation that if they lose Jimmy Butler, it will have to be for some good pieces. This is not the time to settle or take losses.
To summarize, Phoenix doesn’t have the assets, or allowed to add more assets, to make a solid trade offer to Miami. Even if the deal went through, the small-ball lineup would cripple them in health, defense, rebounding and force the team to go in a different scheme.
Miami would be tied down to Beal’s contract and jeopardize their future, even past the date of his contract expiration. Lastly, this team will be filled with good players, but not ones assembled to make a past-the-second-round or Finals run.
The answer is very clear as to why the Heat will NOT be trading Butler to the Suns.
The NBA’s trade deadline is February 6th, 2025.
Featured
Official Predictions For 2024-25 NBA Team’s Records
Published
2 months agoon
October 22, 2024By
JoshuaThe NBA’s regular season is back, and I’m very excited. New teams have been assembled, champions are trying to repeat, former glory teams are trying to climb to the top again, and fans even have new storylines to follow.
In today’s article, I will break down each conference, going team by team, and predicting their record for the upcoming season.
As a side note, in a separate article, I will address my predictions for major award winners and what team will win the NBA Finals.
Western Conference:
Minnesota Timberwolves | 55-27 (First Seed)
Even though Minnesota traded away Karl-Anthony Towns for Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo, the Timberwolves are still going to be a major threat in the West. In fact, it’ll land them with the best record to have the first seed.
By getting DiVincenzo, Minnesota can now have more confidence in their guard rotation and three-point abilities. Spacing should also be considerably better now that the Rudy Gobert and Towns experiment is over.
Plus, Anthony Edwards will continue to get better; remember, not much has changed with this team, as this is the same organization who knocked off the (former) reigning champs, the Denver Nuggets.
The momentum they had last season, including the postseason, will carry into this season.
Phoenix Suns | 53-29 (Second Seed)
What Phoenix showed last season was embarrassing and downright ugly; fans, including myself, have known their struggles for months now. However, their “struggles” are now dwindling away.
One of their biggest issues was not having a real point guard, but that’s now been solved with an underrated Tyus Jones and Monte Morris. Plus, Mike Budenholzer is the better coach than Frank Vogel, so the intensity and passing ability will be increasingly better.
Another thing that will change, which is something Budenholzer preaches, is their attack mentality, being aggressive, and not squandering leads or giving up come the late parts of the second half.
Even though people are sleeping on this team due to their failures, if Kevin Durant and Devin Booker rekindle their spark, their mojo, then this is going to be a deadly team led by two of best in the league.
Oklahoma City Thunder | 52-30 (Third Seed)
Adding Alex Caruso and Isaiah Hartenstein to their roster was some of their smarter decisions they’ve made in a while; it only cost them Josh Giddey and money, which isn’t bad at all.
When this team is fully healthy, specifically Hartenstein, this team is going to wreck havoc to their opponents. Oklahoma City is going to pick up where they left off last season, as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and others are going to continue to grow.
Chet Holmgren is going to look improved, same for both Williams. This whole roster is going to look complete and under fantastic coaching.
This is going to be one of their more dominant seasons in franchise history; maybe even a little more dominant than the superteam the Thunder had many years ago.
New Orleans Pelicans | 50-32 (Fourth Seed)
Is Herbert Jones a typical center? No. Should he even be playing that position? No. However, with them losing Jonas Valančiūnas in free agency to the Washington Wizards, New Orleans have been forced to pivot.
Despite that glaring issue, which could be minimized, the Pelicans did acquire Dejounte Murray. They had a backcourt issue and they were able to resolve it, and it didn’t cost them much. Dyson Daniels, some bench players, and two first-rounders were all that was given up for the talented point guard.
This organization finally has a dependable two-way ball-handling stud, which is something they lacked last season. Plus, takes pressure off the team when Zion Williamson is injured.
Another thing to point out is a potential trade shipping away Brandon Ingram. If they were to do a trade, it would be to benefit one of their glaring needs and ultimately solidify them as playoff contenders.
Even if they keep Ingram, New Orleans will still have that playoff edge.
Denver Nuggets | 50-32 (Fifth Seed)
Russell Westbrook will add relief to this team, however, Denver losing Kentavious Caldwell-Pope to the Orlando Magic was a detrimental blow. They’ve been losing critical pieces since their NBA Finals run back in 2023. First, Bruce Brown. Now, KCP.
Westbrook isn’t the glorious savior Denver will be hoping for, if Jamal Murray struggles or gets injured. However, they have a lot of talent on this roster ranging from Christian Braun (who now needs to step it up as a permanent starter) to Nikola Jokic to Aaron Gordon.
They’ll for sure be a playoff team, but depth, like proven last season, will be an issue. However, enough talent will see them win 50 games.
Dallas Mavericks | 49-33 (Sixth Seed)
This year may be a regressing year for the Mavericks, as last season they won 50 games and I would be shocked if they did again.
Klay Thompson is out of his prime, gotten old too fast, and will be a liability rather than a reliability for Dallas. Signing him was a negative, and then losing Derrick Jones Jr. is piling onto the negatives. Can’t have an ineffective shooter and perimeter defense, which was Jones’ role.
Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving will be incredible as always, as Luka may even win MVP. However, to say they are an NBA Finals team is hard to picture this season. Many teams in the West, not accounting for the East, have gotten better. They’ve stayed the same, if not have gotten worse.
However, they are still a top team and will perform to their expectations for this upcoming season.
Sacramento Kings | 46-36 (Seventh Seed)
Nobody loves DeMar DeRozan more than me, however, them acquiring him was a very questionable move. On the surface, he has the fire power and will to lead teams to be successful. However, there are concerns.
Some of the biggest question marks would be his defensive liabilities and how Sacramento needs help on that side of the ball. Plus, can he fit with the style of Domantas Sabonis and De’Aaron Fox?
Those questions and concerns will probably be more for the postseason, as they have enough talent, in their prime, or continuing to progress nicely, that they’ll be able to avoid falling down deep into the play-in tournament.
Houston Rockets | 46-36 (Eighth Seed)
Ime Udoka’s team continues to be an impressive underdog taking the NBA world by storm; not many expected Houston to have a couple of shining, lasting, bursts of energy and notable victories last season.
With Alperen Sengun and Jalen Green locked down, there are no background noise. It is strictly basketball.
Cam Whitmore and Amen Thompson will continue to flourish in their respective roles, plus Reed Sheppard will shine as a top-five rookie this season. People should be excited to see the guard go to work this year.
They do not have a weak position, as everyone is looking secure in their lines and are ready to make an impact. This is definitely a playoff-caliber team.
Golden State Warriors | 45-37 (Ninth Seed)
Golden State is no longer the “wow” team, they may even miss the postseason. The only hope the Warriors got in having a respectable season is Stephen Curry’s shooting ability.
The center position, led by Draymond Green (who is pretty much worthless at this point), is at their weakest in years. Jonathan Kuminga is strong, but Kyle Anderson isn’t the greatest backup. Brandin Podziemski and Buddy Hield are going to have to pick it up to help Curry.
Andrew Wiggins and Gary Payton II are some of the worst players, in terms of consistency and output, the Warriors have had in a while.
Dark days ahead for the Golden State Warriors.
Memphis Grizzlies | 42-40 (Tenth Seed)
This team used to be known as a playoff team, but ever since injuries and Ja Morant’s antics, this team has heavily regressed. They haven’t been the same since facing the Warriors in the postseason a while back.
However, I still believe they are a winning organization who will sneak in for the final play-in spot. Their starting five is a solid one, as Zach Edey is going to have plenty of positive moments to keep himself on this line.
While the second line is spotty, Luke Kennard’s three-point abilities will continue to help them. This is just a mediocre team currently with them having an up-and-down season.
San Antonio Spurs | 40-42 (Eleventh Seed)
With the rookie and veteran additions they’ve made to this roster, the San Antonio Spurs should make a huge leap up to 40 wins.
I know this is aggressive, however, Victor Wembanyama is only going to get better and you have veteran leadership from players like Chris Paul to make a major impact on the younger guys.
Plus, the amount of known, proven, commodities on this roster is too good not to get a 40-win record. Also, check for the playmaking and scoring abilities of Stephon Castle. He will be used very early on in his rookie season.
Los Angeles Lakers | 37-45 (Twelfth Seed)
This may be the most shocking West team to fall, but the Lakers are a mediocre team that needs a total revamp. Dalton Knecht is going to shine, it’s going to be lovely. However, not Bronny James.
Only one rookie will make a (positive) lasting impact in Los Angeles, which will be exciting to see. The only consistent, reliable players on this roster is LeBron James and Anthony Davis. The rest of the roster have fallen in utter obscurity. It’s rather sad to see.
The amount of inconsistency on this roster, no physicality, and little-to-no intensity will be their greatest downfall. You know it’s bad when San Antonio will have a better record than you.
Los Angeles Clippers | 36-48 (Thirteenth Seed)
Los Angeles should vote to remove both of these teams for the upcoming season because the amount of misery they are going to endure is actually depressing.
Kawhi Leonard has fallen off the face of the universe due to injuries, sadly. I applaud them getting Derrick Jones Jr., however, letting go Paul George, when you could have gotten something in return, is a fatal error.
It makes it worse that they chose to pay Leonard, a man who is never healthy, a lot of money instead of building this team into something fruitful. They either have aging, slowly dying player or mediocre players who can’t show up when it matters the most. There is no in-between, and there is no positives.
I weep for the future of this organization.
Utah Jazz | 20-62 (Fourteenth Seed)
This team has a lot of young pieces that need time to develop, understand the NBA better, and gel with their teammates. This is not a bad roster, rather an inconsistent roster where they’ll be fighting for a high lottery pick instead of a deep postseason run.
The biggest things to watch is the development of Taylor Hendricks and Keyonte George; I’m excited to watch their games this season. Also, the two rookies: Kyle Filipowski and Isaiah Collier. Two rookies I’ve raved about since the week of the draft.
For the fans of Utah, please don’t get your hopes up. Have a second team to root for.
Portland Trail Blazers | 11-71 (Fifteenth Seed)
This team needs to blow up their roster completely and probably trade players like Jerami Grant and Deandre Ayton. The potential talent on this team is good, but Portland needs to wheel and deal this dreadful season to have a brighter future.
Donovan Clingan, Deni Avdija, Anfernee Simons, and the second year of Scoot Henderson will be the most interesting to watch.
Eastern Conference:
All 15 teams have been assessed in the Western Conference, now let’s turn to the Eastern Conference now.
Boston Celtics | 65-17 (First Seed)
Last season, Boston won 64 games. This season, they’ll remain on top by winning an extra game. There are no weaknesses to this team, they are the complete package, which is why they are the reigning champs.
If a team, East or West, wants to win it all, it has to be by dethroning the Boston Celtics. There isn’t too much to say about this franchise.
New York Knicks | 57-25 (Second Seed)
Despite Karl-Anthony Towns not being the greatest defensive player in the world, he is one of the better offensive big men in the NBA right now. The pick-and-roll with him and Jalen Brunson is going to be electrifying, the spacing will be better, and he is a wonderful stretch big.
New York’s biggest hole was the center position, which has been filled. Do they have depth issues? Yes. Do they have zero cap flexibility for the future? Yes. However, in saying all that, they are in a win-now mode.
The Knicks are putting all their eggs into one basket, which is going to be generational for some New York fans. The biggest concerns will hit them in the postseason, but, for now, this is going to be a terrific regular season.
You’re about to see one of the most electrifying starting lineups this season. Get ready.
Cleveland Cavaliers | 56-26 (Third Seed)
Most of the team is locked into long-term contracts, so there should be no more outside distractions. The Cavaliers are looking as strong as ever, no more battling injuries, and will be ready to go for their season opener.
Nothing much has changed with this roster, which, for once, is a good thing, as this is a playoff-contending roster when healthy. They made a tremendous push for the postseason when not fully healthy, so imagine what they’ll be when everyone’s at full blast.
This will be the best Cleveland season since LeBron James, Kevin Love, and Kyrie Irving.
Orlando Magic | 51-31 (Fourth Seed)
Last season, the Magic showed glimpses of them being a serious threat in the East. Now, this season, Orlando will be a top contender in the East. I project them to gel together and be the most dynamic, explosive, efficient they’ve ever been.
Orlando’s biggest need was a shooter, which they solved by adding veteran Kentavious Caldwell-Pope. What makes him even better, more than a shooter, is his ability to play defense and space the floor. For the backcourt, that was an issue.
Besides that, they have great depth with a solid (rising) starting five. This is going to be a magical time for them (see what I did there).
Indiana Pacers | 50-32 (Fifth Seed)
Indiana won 47 games last season, this season, they’ll be winning 50 games. They had a tremendous playoff run where they did give the Celtics a good fight until the end, and I project the Pacers having another monster run this season.
Everyone from Tyrese Haliburton to Pascal Siakam to Andrew Nembhard are going to get better. This is a young, still-developing roster and they have a high expectations because they are a rising playoff-contending team.
The Pacers are going to continue to ride off last season’s momentum and make it even better for the 2024-25 season.
Philadelphia 76ers | 50-32 (Sixth Seed)
For them, Philly has a lot of talent and can, and will, win 50 games this season. However, beyond that, the 76ers aren’t any better than they were last season.
Joel Embiid is an overrated player who is constantly injured, which contributes to him being an overrated player who disappears when times are real or tough. Paul George’s contract isn’t as bad as Ben Simmons, but it is up there.
Like I’ve mentioned before, they have the talent to win 50 games; however, Tyrese Maxey is going to have to carry this team like he did last season.
Milwaukee Bucks | 49-33 (Seventh Seed)
The 2021 Milwaukee Bucks are gone, they aren’t returning and probably will never return to those glory days.
This team has two of the top players in the league: Giannis Antetokounmpo and Damian Lillard, which is amazing, right? It is, but Lillard hasn’t always been the most consistent at staying healthy. Plus, speaking of health, Khris Middleton’s production is failing like his health.
When people start to factor in their depth, it is very limited and iffy. Milwaukee had quality minimum signings like Gary Trent Jr. and Tauren Prince, but nothing to move the needle to be anything more than a play-in team.
Miami Heat | 42-40 (Eighth Seed)
This is such a weird situation, as the Heat aren’t bad and they aren’t great. They are currently in the middle of the pack with a fine roster, could it improve? Sure, but it isn’t play-in bad. However, that’s where they are going to end up for another season.
Miami is a tough team to try to predict where they are going to end up, if they are healthy enough, and nothing happens to Jimmy Butler, then they’ll make it for a decent postseason run.
Atlanta Hawks | 37-45 (Ninth Seed)
With no Dejounte Murray, this could quickly become the Jalen Johnson show and have a great breakout season. However, even if Trae Young and Johnson had spectacular seasons, it wouldn’t be enough to cobble together a winning season.
Even with the losing record, Atlanta would still be a play-in team. A small victory for the rebuilding franchise.
They have a fine squad with the additions of Dyson Daniels and Zaccharie Risacher. This is a true rebuilding team that needs to time to glue the pieces together and let players develop.
Toronto Raptors | 35-47 (Tenth Seed)
Last season, Toronto won 25 games. This season, I would expect improvement. Even though it’s only ten games, those ten games would allow them a shot into the play-in tournament.
Fans will see Immanuel Quickley, Scottie Barnes, and RJ Barrett help give them the spark to have a decent (in terms of rebuilding) season. Plus, look out for Gradey Dick to have an improving season.
I know these are just baby steps, but progress is progress and should be celebrated.
Chicago Bulls | 26-56 (Eleventh Seed)
The talent is obviously there for them to win games, but there is so much outside noise right now that it’s not strictly focused on basketball. The biggest questions surrounding them is how Lonzo Ball will do this season, as he attempts to make his incredible comeback.
Plus, how Zach LaVine will fit into this team and whether or not he will be dealt somewhere. There’s also this transition of power (if you want to put it like that) of removing DeMar DeRozan and Alex Caruso and replacing them with Josh Giddey and Matas Buzelis.
This season is going to be a long one for Chicago fans, with them being another team too hard to judge what is exactly going to happen. However, look to see how the rookies does. He will have many opportunities to shine and to prove himself to the organization.
Detroit Pistons | 25-57 (Twelfth Seed)
Believe it or not, Detroit is improving. Fans must look beyond the record, as if Cade Cunningham can stay healthy, they have a shot to gel together and win games.
We are all eager to see what Ron Holland can do on the court, as this is going to be a no-pressure year for him to understand the ropes of what’s happening in the NBA. Plus, seeing another developing year of Jalen Duren is going to be exciting.
Detroit is starting to pick up the pieces and solve the puzzle, it’s just taking a little more time than what many were hoping for.
In this season, the biggest names to focus on would be Cunningham, Marcus Sasser, Ausar Thompson, Duren, and Holland. This is the team’s future.
Charlotte Hornets | 23-59 (Thirteenth Seed)
Like the Pistons, the Charlotte Hornets are improving, it’s just taking a little longer than what many wanted. The biggest areas of concern is health, LaMelo Ball, and having a consistent second line.
For Charlotte, they may have to tinker with the trade market to see if they can trade players like Grant Williams and Nick Richards, two players who don’t belong on this team.
Players like Brandon Miller are going to be crucial to watch because his development means everything to the state of this franchise. Him and Ball are the deciding factor of if they are going to relavant soon or not.
For now, the draft will be their postseason.
Brooklyn Nets | 17-65 (Fourteenth Seed)
I’d expect veteran players like Dorian Finney-Smith and Cam Johnson to be on the chop block next as this is a full-blown rebuild, which was made clear when they traded away Mikal Bridges.
Brooklyn looks to be keeping only young players and mediocre players in their quest for a very valuable draft pick in the 2025 NBA Draft.
Sorry in advance, Brooklyn.
Washington Wizards | 15-67 (Fifteenth Seed)
Washington has a lot of talent that doesn’t blend together, which is why they’ll take this season to probably trade players like Kyle Kuzma and Jordan Poole.
They want to see younger talent, more hopeful talent, like Alexander Sarr, Corey Kispert, Bub Carrington, and Bilal Coulibaly shine.
If I had to take a guess at their end goal, it is to be as bad as humanly possible to try to win the Cooper Flagg sweepstakes. Imagine a roster headlined by Sarr and Flagg, it would be incredible.
For now, they are embracing the ugly for a brighter future.
Conclusion:
All 30 teams have been assessed, as a lot of them have the potential to do great things in this league. Including the rebuilding teams, as some of them are closer than what some may think.
As mentioned in the beginning of this article, another article detailing who’s winning the major awards and how the postseason will unfold will be released very soon.
the NBA’s 2024-25 season officially begins tonight, October 22nd, with the Lakers-Timberwolves and Knicks-Celtics.
Featured
How Karl-Anthony Towns Negatively And Positively Impacts The Knicks
Published
2 months agoon
October 5, 2024By
JoshuaIt is no secret that the New York Knicks won the trade involving Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo being sent to the Minnesota Timberwolves for Karl-Anthony Towns. They’ve set themselves up for a competitive run to the Finals.
However, despite having the tremendous upsides of Towns, there are some noticeable concerns that need to be addressed before writing their names into the championship history books.
This article will walk through all the negatives and positives surrounding the 28-year-old, then, come the end, I will draw a conclusion on whether or not they are a Finals-bound team.
Positive: A position of need has been fulfilled
New York lost Isaiah Hartenstein in free agency to the Oklahoma City Thunder and Mitchell Robinson will be out until December with his looming ankle injury; this left a large hole in their center position.
Their solution? Trading for Karl-Anthony Towns, which was a brilliant move. Minnesota, after acquiring Rudy Gobert, tried playing Towns at the power forward position. To say the least, it was an awful move. Why? Because Towns is a natural, and more comfortable, center.
New York is putting him back into his natural element, which is a phenomenal win-win for each sides.
Before Towns, their center room consisted of Mitchell Robinson, Jericho Sims, and Ariel Hukporti. For those that don’t know, Hukporti was selected in this year’s draft with the 58th pick.
Robinson is hurt, so that would mean they would either have Sims start or pull Precious Achiuwa from the four to play the five. I don’t have to explain in great depth why that would have been a chaotic nightmare for management and head coach Tom Thibodeau.
In the end, the positional upgrade and stress taken off by acquiring Towns is something worth more than gold. A heavy weight has been lifted off the shoulders of many.
Positive: Towns is way better player than Julius Randle for New York
This statement I made has multiple layers that needed to be unpacked. Firstly, Towns is the better shooter. There’s a reason why many said there was a Randle problem in New York, it wasn’t because he was this significant player dominating the space.
Towns is a far more consistent shooter than Randle has been in his career; one is a 52% shooter, while the other is a 47% shooter. From deep saw Towns 6% better than Randle. Towns is literally a stretch big that wasn’t limited to one role.
Secondly, Randle was never successful or effective in the pick-and-roll game. Something that is almost an underrated skill of Towns is his ability to work the pick-and-roll so well. For majority of his time in Minnesota, the Timberwolves never had a successful guard to compliment Towns in that capacity.
Now, that is not a knock against Anthony Edwards. Please do not misconstrue what I am saying; of course, Edwards has the ability to do it. However, poor spacing, involving Rudy Gobert, killed any possibilities of that happening.
New York has incredible spacing and an incredible guard that is Jalen Brunson to get the job done. This will be scary hours in New York for opposing defenses to try to scheme against.
Thirdly, and this a massive one, especially for the front office, contracts. Heading into this season was Randle’s final guaranteed year, there were so many questions focused on if he would re-sign if it meant taking less money. The kind of sacrifices Brunson and Mikal Bridges are making.
Speculation arose on whether or not Leon Rose and the Knicks would want to go all-in on a number two player that they already had issues with and not fully invested.
With Towns, he’s entering his huge four-year deal worth $220 million. Forget about the money right now, what is really important are the years in the agreement. New York doesn’t have to worry about a big piece leaving anytime soon.
Negative: Roster depth & financial flexibility has been compromised
While this isn’t directly the fault of Towns, New York has taken away some of their depth to acquire him. This raises a red flag for when injuries happen and overall roster rotation.
They essentially traded two pieces for one piece; getting rid of DiVincenzo certainly didn’t help, however, it’s understandable on why they pulled the trigger when given the context of the deal not happening without him apart of it.
Even with the context, one of their biggest issues last season was depth. That was one of the key factors in them not making a deep playoff run, it was evident since the very beginning.
Here is their entire depth chart:
- Miles McBride
- Cam Payne
- Tyler Kolek (second-round rookie)
- Landry Shamet
- Pacome Dadiet (first-round rookie)
- Precious Achiuwa
- Kevin McCullar Jr. (second-round rookie)
- Jericho Sims
- Ariel Hukporti (second-round rookie)
Their front-court is very scarce, with a lot of it being filled by rookies. The back-court is also very interesting to look at because the second and third units may not be able to carry as much as their talent will allow them to.
This puts more pressure on the starters and McBride, who will now see an increased role. Was he expecting it? We will see as the season unfolds.
All of this is to say that the New York Knicks and their fan base must proceed with cautious optimism, as there is a lot of hopeful wishing going on right now with their backup units.
Now, what about their financial flexibility?
By New York getting Towns, with his massive $220 million contract over the next four years, they have put themselves in an unforgiving hole of (almost) zero financial flexibility or independence.
This season, he is making $49 million. This will be the cheapest season, as each season will see a four million increase in his pay. His final season will cost New York $61 million. For a fuller understanding of this, Towns will be 32 years old. Something to consider.
Fun fact, half of their cap space is being spent on Towns and OG Anunoby. The more terrifying part is realizing their history with injuries.
Then pile on the soon-to-be Mikal Bridges contract extension, which will push them into the second apron, New York is forcing themselves into keeping this roster for the long haul. Or at least the starting lineup and other key contributors.
They could face the same level of inflexibility as Mat Ishbia’s Phoenix Suns; there are concerns there.
Negative: Adding Towns doesn’t add another shot creator
Karl-Anthony Towns is a wonderful offensive player, there is no doubt in my mind or the mind of the New York Knicks. However, it’s not like they traded for a player who can generate their own shot out of thin air.
One of the only positives Randle had in his arsenal was his ability to create his own shots and not rely on others, or specifically the point guard, to create them for him. Towns not so much, which could prove to be challenging.
Now, could Towns’ spacing abilities counteract this issue? Yes and no, while it will for sure help, Brunson is still going to have to put in more work regardless of the spacing.
A lot of the Knicks’ players are reliant, and almost fully dependent, on the playmaking and shot creation abilities of Brunson. That isn’t always sustainable, but there are feasible ways out of those tough scenarios.
The reason why this is a negative, besides the obvious, is seeing how this will affect Brunson. Before with Randle, he had those breaks; now, he won’t be having them as much with Towns.
Is this a good trade off for better pick and rolls with better spacing? It can be, but it all depends on coaching and personnel.
What fans have to worry about is how it will affect them in the postseason, not the here and now – speaking of the regular season.
Conclusion:
Is this team Finals-bound? They can be, but so many things have to go their way and they have some tough teams to face once in the postseason. For example: the Boston Celtics, Philadelphia 76ers, and even the Indiana Pacers.
Rosters have changed, teams have adapted, and that includes their benches. The long-term, and short-term, success of this team depends on a lot of factors. A lot of the factors that were covered in this article; plus, factors, like defense and chemistry, that will need to be addressed as the season progresses.
New York is taking a serious gamble, which heavily impacts their future one way or another, and all eyes will be on the Knicks.
Do cracks begin to show? Yes, but, in this deal, they got the best player.
How you must look at it, is this: they were never sustainable with Randle, when healthy and when not, they’ve gained a player that compliments New York better.
Towns has significant defensive issues, he is a worse liability than what many think, but the right scheme and defense will minimize the issues.
This trade shows them going all-in, while remaining conservative, as this proves to the world they are serious about a championship by raising the risks even higher with the reward paying off greatly.
If injuries are kept at a low, and the team gels to the Knicks’ liking, then I could see this team compete in the Eastern Conference Championship. However, the margin for error is very slim now, especially given the reasons above.
In the end, this was the right move by the Knicks. It filled holes in their roster, upgraded a player, and gives them a better chance for the postseason. A lot of the issues were there when Randle was there; funny enough, some of the issues that he caused have been fixed.
Featured
Why Tyus Jones Is The Point Guard The Suns Always Needed
Published
5 months agoon
July 31, 2024By
JoshuaThis past Saturday, fans of the NBA and the Phoenix Suns saw the shocking news that Tyus Jones would be signing with Mat Ishiba’s organization. This was a move that many felt was very improbable due to money, but Phoenix somehow convinced him to take a one-year, $3.3 million deal.
Jones has been a very underrated, underappreciated point guard in the past couple of seasons. There is no bias to that statement, it is simply a fact. He’s only 28 years old, is a 12/7 player, and has propelled his career from being a backup to a full-fledged starter.
While what I have listed is all well in good, not taking away anything, but how does he help the Phoenix Suns? How does Jones bring this team together and much better than what they were last season? Is he their PG savior?
All those questions and more will be answered below.
The skills Tyus Jones possesses:
Ball Protection
He became a full-time starter with the Washington Wizards last season, and it was one of the most impressive point guard seasons I’ve seen in a while. Particularly in this area, why? Jones recorded 485 assists against 66 turnovers; that’s a 7.35 ratio, which is best mark in NBA history.
To provide more context of how stunning that is, only talking last season, Jones was first and Chris Paul was fourth. Paul’s assist to turnover ratio was 5.1, the Point God himself wasn’t close to Jones. It’s extraordinary to dish out seven passes before committing a singular turnover.
Was it a fluke? Absolutely not, here are some more numbers: in 2018-19, he set an NBA record with a 6.96 AST/TO ratio. Later, in 2021-22, Jones topped it with a 7.04 AST/TO ratio. As his minutes and exposure to the court grew, so did his numbers and consistency to the game.
Also, he’s led the league in AST/TO ratio for five straight season. He’s no joke, an absolute stud playmaking-wise.
Pushing The Pace
The Suns have found a happy median between the erratic play of Cam Payne and the slow play of Chris Paul. Jones won’t take 10 seconds to get up court and get a play ready, and he won’t rush it by sprinting with the ball up the court in 1.2 seconds to make a bad decision.
Pushing the pace will keep Phoenix flowing in a positive direction on fast-breaks and bringing the ball up the court on usual inbounds. What he did in Memphis with the Grizzlies was absolutely fantastic, and was a sizable chunk of his game.
In the final season with Memphis, they were fifth in pace (possessions per 48 minutes), which featured him being second in fast-break points. About 20% of his offense accounted from scoring on fast-breaks and transitions.
Jones has played in different styles of tempos and can adjust very well to head coach Mike Budenholzer’s tempo. His excellence on pushing pace has been seen through his overall basketball IQ and how he handles the ball as a primary facilitator and floor general.
Shot Creation & Ball Handling
As a full-time starter, fans have seen his shooting performances on the rise. In 2022-23, Jones averaged 10.3 points on 43.8% from the field. In 2023-24, Jones averaged 12.0 points on 48.9% from the field.
His ball handling skills has allowed him to create shots, create space, and get pretty good looks. That is why he’s able to have such a high percentage from the field; it should also be noted that the more he dribbles the more efficient he is scoring-wise.
After taking two dribbles then the shot, Jones converts it at a 51.6% success rate. Let’s say it’s three or more dribbles, he’s still knocking them down at a 49.1% success rate. The model of today’s NBA is to catch-and-shoot or take one dribble only, but Tyus Jones is completely different.
This is what has made him so effective and dangerous around the perimeter and beyond the arc. It is visually and statistically proven. These two features of his game has sent him from being a backup trying to prove himself to a full-blown starter that can lead a team in a positive, unselfish way.
How does Tyus Jones help the Phoenix Suns?
If anyone has lived under a rock for the past season when it comes to Phoenix basketball, let me painfully fill you in on the horrors this team had to go through. Mind you, I’m a diehard Suns fan, so this kills me.
Anyways, the Suns were the most hideous team with no continuity or consistency as an offensive group due to having no point guard that led to high turnovers and defensive breakdowns. We collapsed in the third quarter, offensively and defensively, but if we survived that quarter, it would definitely die in the fourth quarter.
Turnovers were a massive problem, as stated above, with the Suns averaging 14.1 turnovers per game. No franchise can be a sustainable, winning, championship-contending team if they are committing that many turnovers.
Plus, having no true point guard couldn’t facilitate or help function the rest of the pieces on the court. It looked to appear that this team had no chemistry, intensity, or understanding of the game of basketball.
Devin Booker was not the answer; Bradley Beal was not the answer; nor was Kevin Durant, Isaiah Thomas (wasn’t even given a shot), Grayson Allen, nobody was the answer.
So, how does Tyus Jones become Phoenix’s savior?
He’s a true point guard who doesn’t need to always score and will, in fact, look to get the primary scorers open and able to get “easier” shots. There will be less frustration from players, more chemistry, pressure will be taken off of the “Big 3” to move around the ball, less iso-ball, and other things along those lines.
Fans, reading this article and knowing Jones already, know who Jones is and will always continue to be. His playing style is incredible and it will fit within Phoenix’s scheme of the coaches and the players.
With him running the offense, there won’t be 14 turnovers per game anymore. There won’t be constant traps and pressures put on Phoenix’s players when bringing up the ball. What makes this even more beautiful as a fan of the Phoenix Suns is knowing that everyone will be involved, there will be no more (to limited) iso-ball, and stars can return to their natural roles.
Conclusion
This isn’t rocket science, right? Phoenix always needed a point guard, a true play-making guard. James Jones has finally found him and has finally be able to sign him. Everything I’ve listed in this article from his main skills to the problems of the Phoenix Suns all go together because the problems can be solved with his talents.
Phoenix struggled in the third quarter because they didn’t have a point guard, same goes for their fourth quarter struggles. When a team can’t pass the ball, and has to play hero-ball to generate scoring opportunities, they are bound to collapse and stall out like an old car.
The health of this offense, and this team in general, needed a point guard. We found that out with Chris Paul, now we’ve found a younger and almost better version of him for the modern-day Suns.
There was no secret code to figuring out how to “fix” the Suns; they just needed a point guard, a reliable and beyond ready-to-play point guard.
I’ve always wanted him here in Phoenix, and, now, management has secured him.